Bitcoin ‘6–8 weeks’ from breakout as Hang Seng echoes Lehman Siblings dip

Bitcoin (BTC) anxiously waited for cues in the March. 24 Wall Street open as expectations of the breakout ran high.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Hang Seng drops most since 2008

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked a mundane buying and selling day for BTC/USD following the pair hit weekly highs of $19,700 overnight.

Despite what Michaël van de Poppe, Chief executive officer and founding father of buying and selling firm Eight, known as “way worse than expected” manufacturing data in the U . s . States, Bitcoin endured from the declining trajectory at the time.

This brought on-chain analytics resource Material Indicators to suspect that resistance would stay in place.

“Sunday BTC unsuccessful all tries to reclaim the 2017 Top,” it stated, summarizing the latest 24 hours’ cost action according to its proprietary buying and selling indicators.

“The alternation in the trajectory of Trend Precognition’s A1 Slope Line following the D and W close signifies a loss of revenue of momentum. Cost is presently pinned between your 50-Day MA and also the trend line waiting for the TradFi open.”

Van de Poppe, meanwhile, put the sell levels to conquer at $19,600 and $20,700, adding the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields were “showing some slight weakness.”

“Upwards momentum is fading on bond yields,” popular buying and selling account Bet on Trades ongoing.

“When this last happened, the markets continued a large run.”

It had been nevertheless macro markets offering clearer indications of volatility in the future at the time, particularly in Asia, in which the Hong Kong Hang Seng saw its greatest daily drop because the Lehman Siblings implosion in 2008.

Hang Seng Index 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingView

Bet on Trades likewise considered the S&ampP 500 like a potential supply of a “massive move” with volatility growing.

S&ampP 500 volatility annotated chart. Source: Bet on Trades/Twitter

“Big expansive move” might be several weeks off for BTC

For Bitcoin, volatility might be a lengthy time coming, like a classic indicator delivers signals seen only a number of occasions before.

Related: Least volatile ‘Uptober’ ever — 5 items to know in Bitcoin now

As noted by Filbfilb, co-founding father of buying and selling suite DecenTrader, Bitcoin’s Bollinger Bands still contract on weekly timeframes, reaching rare levels.

“The results of each example is clearly a large expansive move,” he told Twitter supporters at the time.

“The funny part is the fact that in each one of the examples, BTC spent 6-8 days tightening farther from the width level we’re now at, before a large expansive move, so I’m afraid there’s a high probability this factor ends up further.”

BTC/USD comparative annotated charts. Source: Filbfilb/Twitter

Whether up or lower, Bitcoin’s current growing correlation with gold was something to be aware of, Charles Edwards, founding father of asset manager Capriole, added.

“Bitcoin bottoms frequently align rich in correlation to Gold. We’ve that today,” he declared alongside a comparative chart of previous such periods.

“It is way better when Bitcoin is correlated to Gold. Unshackled.”

BTC/USD versus. gold correlation annotated chart. Source: Charles Edwards/Twitter

The views and opinions expressed listed here are exclusively individuals from the author and don’t always reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and buying and selling move involves risk, you need to conduct your personal research when making the decision.

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