Ethereum at risk of 25% crash as ETH cost forms classic bearish technical pattern

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) looks prepared to undergo a failure relocate May because it forms a convincing “bear pennant” structure.

ETH cost to $1,500?

ETH’s cost continues to be consolidating since May 11 in the range based on two converging trendlines. Its sideways move coincides having a stop by buying and selling volumes, underscoring the chance that ETH/USD is painting a bear pennant.

Bear pennants are bearish continuation patterns, meaning they resolve following the cost breaks underneath the structure’s lower trendline after which falls up to the peak from the previous move downside (known as the flagpole).

ETH/USD two-hour cost chart. Source: TradingView

Because of this technical rule, Ether risks closing below its pennant structure, adopted by additional moves towards the downside.

The peak of ETH’s flagpole is about $650. Therefore, when the cost undergoes breakdown in the pennant’s apex point near $2,030 then your structure’s bearish target is going to be below $1,500, lower over 25% in the cost on May 15.

Sell-off, pullback

Interestingly, the bear pennant’s profit target grouped into the area that preceded a 250% cost rally within the Feb-November 2021 session. Also, the prospective is about Ether’s 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA nowhere wave), presently near $1,600.

Ideally, the demand zone could prompt Ether traders to accumulate the tokens awaiting a clear, crisp upside retracement.

Suppose it takes place, then ETH’s cost interim profit target would probably be the multi-month downward sloping trendline which has offered as resistance inside a “falling channel” pattern, as proven within the chart below.

ETH/USD weekly cost chart. Source: TradingView

ETH was already rebounding after testing the demand zone, and also the falling channel’s lower trendline, as support. This might push ETH/USD to achieve the channel’s upper trendline near $3,000, about 50% over the cost of May 15, by June.

Extended breakdown scenario

The worst-situation scenario might be ETH breaking underneath the demand zone, brought by macro risks as well as their effect on the crypto market to date in 2022.

Related: $1.9T wipeout in crypto risks spilling to stocks, bonds — stablecoin Tether in focus

Particularly, Ether has declined by 50 plusPercent quarter-to-date as investors reduce their contact with the riskier assets including Bitcoin (BTC) and tech stocks inside a greater rate of interest atmosphere.

As Cointelegraph recently reported, anticipations of more stock exchange selloffs could weigh on crypto, thus hurting Ether, Bitcoin, Cardano (ADA) yet others together.

Ethereum’s correlation coefficient with tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 reaches .90. Source: TradingView

BOOX Research, an economic blogger at SeekingAlpha, remains lengthy-term bullish on Bitcoin, Ether and also the broader crypto market but believes a recovery usually takes many years. Excerpts noted:

“While a few of the corrections in the top might have simply shaken the ‘hot money,’ there’s still a danger that the failing macro atmosphere paves the way for much deeper losses.”

The views and opinions expressed listed here are exclusively individuals from the author and don’t always reflect the views of Every investment and buying and selling move involves risk, you need to conduct your personal research when making the decision.

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