Ethereum ‘March 2020’ fractal shows cost bottom — But ETH bears predict 50% crash

Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), eyes a powerful bullish reversal after losing 25% from the November a lot of $1,675, based on a bottom fractal spotted by independent market analyst Wolf.

Can Ethereum cost co its March 2020 fractal?  

Wolf compares Ethereum’s multi-month downtrend between May 2018 and March 2020 having a similar but relatively shorter correction after This summer 2022. When the move repeats, which means the cost of Ether has bottomed in November 2022, based on the analyst, as proven below.

ETH/USD 2019-20 and 2022 cost performance comparison. Source: TradingView/Wolf

Wolf draws cues from March 2020’s Ethereum cost crash triggered through the Covid-19 pandemic — a black swan event. Similarly, ETH cost was pressed lower in November 2022 because of another black swan — the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX.

But ETH/USD rebounded strongly following the March 2020 crash, boosted through the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts that injected more income in to the economy, a part of which ran in to the crypto market.

Similarly, in November 2022, Ether’s modest recovery publish-FTX “black swan” coincides with growing expectations from the Given slowing its rate hikes. Thus, Ether has a high probability at repeating the March 2020 fractal to new monthly highs.

Furthermore, independent market analyst, Cold Bloodstream Shiller, sees a “obvious breakout point” on Ethereum’s daily chart, namely its Awesome Oscillator (AO) and Relative Strength Index (RSI). Both indicators have been flipping bullish lately, as proven below.

ETH/USD daily cost chart. Source: TradingView/Cold Bloodstream Shiller

Bears anticipate ETH losing another 50%

Nonetheless, Ether is presently lower 75% from the record in November 2021 using the market seeing multiple bull traps since. 

Market analyst Aditya Siddhartha Roy notes the possible formation of the similar bull trap in the present miniuptrend, that they argues risks exhaustion near a multi-month climbing down resistance trendline.

ETH/USD daily cost chart. Source: TradingView/Aditya Siddhartha Roy

A decisive pullback in the climbing down trendline would push Ether toward $700, which can be a “possible bottom,” Roy explains. 

Related: Ethereum derivatives look bearish, but traders believe the ETH bottom is within

Roy’s analysis aligns with Ethereum’s symmetrical triangular setup, best visible on its longer-time-frame chart proven below, whose technical downside target is about $675.

ETH/USD three-day cost chart. Source: TradingView

Quite simply, the ETH/USD pair continues to be vulnerable to shedding another 50% at the begining of 2023.

This short article doesn’t contain investment recommendations or recommendations. Every investment and buying and selling move involves risk, and readers should conduct their very own research when making the decision.

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