Ethereum traders gauge fakeout risks after 40% ETH cost rally

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) saw a modest pullback on This summer 17 after ramming right into a critical technical resistance confluence.

Merge-brought Ethereum cost breakout

ETH’s cost came by 1.8% to $1,328 after battling to maneuver above two strong resistance levels: the 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA the red wave) along with a climbing down trendline (black) becoming a cost ceiling since May.

ETH/USD daily cost chart. Source: TradingView

Formerly, Ether rallied by over 40% from $1,000 on This summer 13 to in excess of $1,400 on This summer 16. The jump made an appearance partially because of excitement surrounding “the Merge” slated for September.

Meanwhile, a golden cross’s appearance on Ethereum’s four-hour chart also boosted Ether’s upside sentiment among technical analysts.

ETH cost risks fakeout

Ether’s 40%-plus cost rally since This summer 13 also had its cost break over a critical horizontal resistance that somewhat constitutes an “climbing triangular pattern.”

Climbing triangles are usually continuation patterns. But in some instances, climbing triangles may also appear in the finish of the downtrend, thus resulting in a bullish reversal

Scott Melker, a completely independent market analyst, considered ETH’s bullish exit from its prevailing climbing triangular pattern like a sign it would rally further. He stated

“A rest above $1,284 should send prices flying, as there’s very little resistance before the $1,700s.”

Ether has damaged above $1,284 and it is inside a breakout zone. Nevertheless, its close over the climbing triangle’s upper trendline hasn’t supported a boost in buying and selling volumes. That implies a weakening upside momentum, i.e., a fakeout.

ETH/USD daily cost chart. Source: TradingView

Therefore, ETH’s cost risks a reversal toward the triangle’s upper trendline near $1,284 as support. The ETH/USD pair could retain its bullish bias whether it rebounds from $1,284 with convincing volumes and breaks over the resistance confluence as discussed above. 

Related: Lido DAO most ‘overbought’ since April as LDO cost rallies 150% in 2 days — what’s next?

On the other hand, a rest below $1,284 would risk re-activating the climbing triangular setup having a bias skewed toward bears. Consequently, ETH would risk crashing to $750, based on a guide of technical analysis as highlighted below.

ETH/USD daily cost chart featuring climbing triangular breakdown setup. Source: TradingView

Which means a 45% decline from current cost levels. 

The views and opinions expressed listed here are exclusively individuals from the author and don’t always reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and buying and selling move involves risk, you need to conduct your personal research when making the decision.

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